Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Kunin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.5% vs Kunin 46.4% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kunin 53.1%
Defensive zone
Kunin 58.9%
Neutral zone
Kunin 55.3%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Coyle
Kunin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Coyle
Kunin
Last 5: Coyle 2-3 Kunin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Kunin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Kunin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kunin
0
2
Coyle
Kunin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Kunin
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,046)
48.9% (366)
+4.1%
Power Play
57.6% (144)
34.6% (26)
+23.0%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (287)
35.2% (88)
+8.4%
On power play, Coyle has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kunin shoots right. Coyle is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Coyle shoots right. Kunin is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Coyle
Kunin
Home
54.5% (719)
45.7% (245)
Away
48.8% (758)
45.5% (235)
By Period
Coyle
Kunin
P1
51.1%
46.5%
P2
50.0%
45.0%
P3
53.3%
44.9%
OT
57.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
41.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.6%
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 17:05 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 09:17 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 18:06 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 11:42 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |