Charlie Coyle vs Macklin Celebrini
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Celebrini on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Celebrini 48.9% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Celebrini 72.8%
Defensive zone
Coyle 74.3%
Neutral zone
Coyle 52.3%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Coyle
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Coyle
Celebrini
Last 7: Coyle 4-3 Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
0
3
Coyle
Celebrini
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
0
Coyle
Celebrini
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Celebrini
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (811)
48.2% (924)
+4.1%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
52.8% (108)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (181)
56.0% (25)
-11.2%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Coyle is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Coyle shoots right. Celebrini is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
Coyle
Celebrini
Home
49.0% (537)
47.8% (523)
Away
52.1% (516)
49.8% (534)
By Period
Coyle
Celebrini
P1
48.7%
47.8%
P2
49.6%
47.4%
P3
53.1%
51.1%
OT
45.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.1%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 15:15 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 13:43 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 03:18 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 19:58 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 19:26 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 12:55 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 07:43 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |