Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Coyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.6% vs Jankowski 47.5% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Jankowski leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 69.5%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 71.8%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 53.4%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Coyle
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Coyle
Jankowski
Last 10: Coyle 4-6 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Coyle
Jankowski
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
3
Coyle
Jankowski
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Jankowski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (402)
49.0% (251)
-0.7%
Power Play
51.2% (41)
28.6% (7)
+22.6%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (64)
40.0% (65)
+6.9%
On power play, Coyle has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (311).
Coyle shoots right. Jankowski is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Coyle
Jankowski
Home
52.5% (238)
50.0% (172)
Away
44.6% (269)
43.0% (151)
By Period
Coyle
Jankowski
P1
49.7%
42.5%
P2
49.5%
49.1%
P3
46.3%
48.5%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.3%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2021 | 3 | 13:47 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 1 | 03:19 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 3 | 09:10 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 3 | 09:06 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 2 | 02:01 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 3 | 10:22 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 12:03 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 11:40 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 16:11 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 10:11 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |