Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Jankowski 53.6% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 88.9%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 53.8%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 71.6%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
Coyle
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Coyle
Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
1
Coyle
Jankowski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Jankowski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Jankowski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (811)
54.1% (527)
-1.8%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
50.0% (14)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (181)
57.5% (40)
-12.7%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Coyle is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Coyle shoots right. Jankowski is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Coyle
Jankowski
Home
49.0% (537)
53.9% (310)
Away
52.1% (516)
54.6% (271)
By Period
Coyle
Jankowski
P1
48.7%
54.6%
P2
49.6%
56.3%
P3
53.1%
51.9%
Final 5 min
49.1%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 13:38 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 04:08 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 01:41 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 11:45 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |