Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Barzal 41.4% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 55.3%
Defensive zone
Coyle 81.4%
Neutral zone
Coyle 69.5%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Coyle
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Coyle
Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Barzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (811)
40.4% (463)
+11.9%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
34.2% (38)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (181)
28.6% (7)
+16.2%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Coyle is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Coyle shoots right. Barzal is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Coyle
Barzal
Home
49.0% (537)
38.1% (244)
Away
52.1% (516)
41.3% (264)
By Period
Coyle
Barzal
P1
48.7%
46.6%
P2
49.6%
35.7%
P3
53.1%
37.7%
OT
45.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |