Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.0%). Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Boldy 48.3% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boldy 74.3%
Defensive zone
Coyle 86.0%
Neutral zone
Coyle 50.6%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
Coyle
Boldy
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Coyle
Boldy
Last 8: Coyle 6-2 Boldy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boldy
1
2
Coyle
Boldy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
5
0
Coyle
Boldy
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Boldy
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,856)
48.0% (333)
+1.4%
Power Play
50.0% (792)
48.6% (140)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (1,090)
40.0% (15)
+3.6%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boldy shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,979).
Coyle shoots right. Boldy is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (193).
Home / Away
Coyle
Boldy
Home
49.8% (4,835)
46.9% (277)
Away
47.9% (4,903)
49.3% (211)
By Period
Coyle
Boldy
P1
49.4%
42.6%
P2
48.3%
52.0%
P3
48.8%
51.5%
OT
49.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Boldy
56.0%▲
45.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:18 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 18:16 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 07:22 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 08:03 | Offensive | Matt Boldy |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 09:05 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 10:04 | Offensive | Matt Boldy |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 03:32 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 11:57 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |