Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 51.2%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Domi 50.9% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 71.9%
Defensive zone
Coyle 69.1%
Neutral zone
Domi 51.7%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Coyle
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Coyle
Domi
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Domi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Domi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (811)
50.4% (254)
+1.9%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
59.3% (27)
-15.0%
On power play, Domi has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Coyle is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Coyle shoots right. Domi is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (92).
Home / Away
Coyle
Domi
Home
49.0% (537)
50.0% (174)
Away
52.1% (516)
53.3% (107)
By Period
Coyle
Domi
P1
48.7%
45.7%
P2
49.6%
51.5%
P3
53.1%
57.3%
OT
45.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
38.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 03:43 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 3 | 07:50 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:54 | Defensive | Max Domi |