Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.8%). Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Domi 48.8% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 18-9 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Domi 70.3%
Defensive zone
Coyle 58.2%
Neutral zone
Domi 51.9%
Result
Max Domi favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Coyle
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
9
(27 meetings)
18
9
Coyle
Domi
Last 10: Coyle 6-4 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
7
4
Coyle
Domi
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
6
4
Coyle
Domi
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
5
1
Coyle
Domi
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,856)
48.1% (4,296)
+1.3%
Power Play
50.0% (792)
53.4% (633)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (1,090)
48.8% (41)
-5.2%
On penalty kill, Domi has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,979).
Coyle shoots right. Domi is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,629).
Home / Away
Coyle
Domi
Home
49.8% (4,835)
49.7% (2,604)
Away
47.9% (4,903)
47.8% (2,366)
By Period
Coyle
Domi
P1
49.4%
48.7%
P2
48.3%
48.3%
P3
48.8%
49.8%
OT
49.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
48.4%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 03:43 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 3 | 07:50 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:54 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 19, 2025 | 3 | 14:24 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 19, 2025 | 2 | 01:20 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 06:50 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 13:46 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 1 | 16:23 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 14:58 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 06:05 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 09:26 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 09:23 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 09:19 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 04:53 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 12, 2020 | 1 | 09:38 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 06:55 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 1 | 17:16 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 7, 2019 | 3 | 05:32 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 7, 2019 | 3 | 05:24 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |