Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Zibanejad 51.6% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 56.7%
Defensive zone
Coyle 65.1%
Neutral zone
Coyle 53.1%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Coyle
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Coyle
Zibanejad
Last 10: Coyle 4-6 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
3
Coyle
Zibanejad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Coyle
Zibanejad
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (811)
53.4% (770)
-1.1%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
46.2% (39)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (181)
44.7% (141)
+0.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Coyle is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Coyle shoots right. Zibanejad is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Coyle
Zibanejad
Home
49.0% (537)
49.0% (429)
Away
52.1% (516)
54.1% (521)
By Period
Coyle
Zibanejad
P1
48.7%
53.0%
P2
49.6%
51.1%
P3
53.1%
51.0%
OT
45.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 14:30 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 07:04 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 19:01 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 13:27 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 10:13 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 12:13 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 17:46 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 00:53 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 14:22 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |