Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Coyle wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs Zibanejad 49.5% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 60.9%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 55.0%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 54.4%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Coyle
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Coyle
Zibanejad
Last 9: Coyle 4-5 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Coyle
Zibanejad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Zibanejad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
3
Coyle
Zibanejad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
50.1% (1,051)
+2.6%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
58.3% (120)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (131)
41.9% (227)
+6.2%
On power play, Coyle has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Coyle is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Coyle shoots right. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Coyle
Zibanejad
Home
53.3% (512)
49.0% (681)
Away
51.9% (507)
49.9% (717)
By Period
Coyle
Zibanejad
P1
53.8%
49.9%
P2
47.8%
47.6%
P3
56.7%
51.1%
OT
38.5%
48.3%
Final 5 min
53.1%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 16:40 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 16:47 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 13:46 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 02:20 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 11:13 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 13:59 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 10:21 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 19:47 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |