Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.2% vs Granlund 48.5% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 74.7%
Defensive zone
Coyle 66.6%
Neutral zone
Granlund 53.5%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 74.7%
25.3%
74.7%
Coyle
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Coyle
Granlund
Last 5: Coyle 2-3 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
2
3
Coyle
Granlund
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (612)
50.0% (356)
+1.6%
Power Play
42.6% (47)
51.9% (79)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (146)
29.4% (51)
+17.2%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Coyle is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (609).
Coyle shoots right. Granlund is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (166).
Home / Away
Coyle
Granlund
Home
47.5% (394)
57.0% (179)
Away
52.8% (411)
43.0% (307)
By Period
Coyle
Granlund
P1
49.6%
53.9%
P2
48.9%
48.2%
P3
52.0%
42.4%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.8%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
50.2%
Granlund
56.0%▲
43.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 04:41 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 16:30 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 06:54 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 14:46 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 07:19 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |