Scouting Report
Mikko Rantanen holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Rantanen on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.5% vs Rantanen 53.2% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Rantanen leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Rantanen 83.4%
Defensive zone
Coyle 93.2%
Neutral zone
Coyle 55.6%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Coyle
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Coyle
Rantanen
Last 10: Coyle 4-6 Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
1
6
Coyle
Rantanen
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
0
Coyle
Rantanen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
2
Coyle
Rantanen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,046)
51.7% (346)
+1.3%
Power Play
57.6% (144)
58.5% (164)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (287)
0.0% (1)
+43.6%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +43.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Coyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,181).
Coyle shoots right. Rantanen is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Home / Away
Coyle
Rantanen
Home
54.5% (719)
55.8% (258)
Away
48.8% (758)
51.8% (253)
By Period
Coyle
Rantanen
P1
51.1%
50.0%
P2
50.0%
56.6%
P3
53.3%
54.3%
OT
57.1%
71.4%
Final 5 min
48.8%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.6%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 03:19 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 05:29 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 8, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 3 | 19:00 | Neutral | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 3 | 18:42 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 3 | 18:36 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 3 | 17:17 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 3 | 12:29 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 3 | 02:23 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 2 | 08:43 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 2 | 04:41 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 1 | 06:36 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |