Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs Kadri 47.7% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 80.6%
Defensive zone
Coyle 76.1%
Neutral zone
Kadri 55.3%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Coyle
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Coyle
Kadri
Last 6: Coyle 3-3 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
2
Coyle
Kadri
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Kadri
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
Kadri
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
46.2% (1,005)
+6.5%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
57.3% (199)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (131)
26.7% (30)
+21.4%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Coyle is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Coyle shoots right. Kadri is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Coyle
Kadri
Home
53.3% (512)
47.4% (641)
Away
51.9% (507)
47.6% (593)
By Period
Coyle
Kadri
P1
53.8%
46.9%
P2
47.8%
49.5%
P3
56.7%
46.2%
OT
38.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
53.1%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Kadri
48.0%▼
49.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 08:36 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 13:47 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 00:05 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 18:38 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 19:49 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |