Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.8% vs Bonino 53.9% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 55.1%
Defensive zone
Bonino 75.4%
Neutral zone
Bonino 59.8%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Coyle
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Coyle
Bonino
Last 9: Coyle 5-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
4
1
Coyle
Bonino
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
2
Coyle
Bonino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (390)
56.4% (771)
-3.1%
Power Play
48.5% (33)
60.0% (30)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (37)
43.8% (169)
-0.6%
On power play, Bonino has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Coyle is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Coyle shoots right. Bonino is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Coyle
Bonino
Home
49.5% (210)
56.5% (531)
Away
54.4% (250)
51.7% (439)
By Period
Coyle
Bonino
P1
53.3%
56.7%
P2
48.0%
48.1%
P3
55.7%
58.0%
OT
46.7%
52.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.2%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2018 | OT | 01:54 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 27, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 3 | 15:28 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 3 | 08:31 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 1 | 10:51 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 13:49 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 13:34 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 11:49 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |