Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 51.0%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.5% vs Bonino 50.8% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 65.1%
Defensive zone
Bonino 59.9%
Neutral zone
Bonino 56.3%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Coyle
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Coyle
Bonino
Last 5: Coyle 2-3 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Bonino
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
2
Coyle
Bonino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Coyle
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,046)
51.8% (305)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (287)
48.5% (101)
-4.9%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Coyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,181).
Coyle shoots right. Bonino is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Home / Away
Coyle
Bonino
Home
54.5% (719)
53.1% (177)
Away
48.8% (758)
49.3% (229)
By Period
Coyle
Bonino
P1
51.1%
55.9%
P2
50.0%
49.6%
P3
53.3%
47.6%
OT
57.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.6%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 06:47 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 12:10 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 15:16 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 06:16 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 10:56 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |