Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs Suzuki 47.5% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 60.4%
Defensive zone
Coyle 77.3%
Neutral zone
Coyle 65.1%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Coyle
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Coyle
Suzuki
Last 9: Coyle 6-3 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
3
Coyle
Suzuki
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Suzuki
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
0
Coyle
Suzuki
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
47.0% (1,066)
+5.7%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
49.5% (204)
+17.2%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (131)
46.6% (131)
+1.5%
On power play, Coyle has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Coyle is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Coyle shoots right. Suzuki is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (396).
Home / Away
Coyle
Suzuki
Home
53.3% (512)
49.4% (686)
Away
51.9% (507)
45.3% (715)
By Period
Coyle
Suzuki
P1
53.8%
45.6%
P2
47.8%
46.9%
P3
56.7%
49.8%
OT
38.5%
38.1%
Final 5 min
53.1%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 16:20 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 14:30 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 05:23 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 19:46 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 19:28 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 07:12 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 10:48 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |