Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +16.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 37.7% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 43.4% vs Gaustad 57.4% (-16.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 89.9%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 52.2%
Neutral zone
Coyle 76.7%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Coyle
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Coyle
Gaustad
Last 6: Coyle 1-5 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Gaustad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
2
Coyle
Gaustad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
3
Coyle
Gaustad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (384)
59.3% (913)
-17.9%
Power Play
45.5% (66)
72.2% (18)
-26.7%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
52.8% (269)
-15.3%
On power play, Gaustad has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Coyle is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (297).
Coyle shoots right. Gaustad is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Home / Away
Coyle
Gaustad
Home
46.4% (211)
58.6% (604)
Away
38.1% (247)
57.4% (596)
By Period
Coyle
Gaustad
P1
46.2%
61.5%
P2
39.5%
55.7%
P3
37.0%
56.6%
OT
73.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
38.1%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
41.9%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 2 | 11:39 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 3 | 10:16 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 3 | 01:14 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 2 | 14:36 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 1 | 00:50 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |