Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 12-11 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 76.3%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 85.9%
Neutral zone
Coyle 52.5%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Coyle
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
12
(23 meetings)
11
12
Coyle
Gaustad
Last 10: Coyle 6-4 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
8
0
Coyle
Gaustad
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
3
5
Coyle
Gaustad
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
7
Coyle
Gaustad
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,856)
58.2% (4,334)
-8.8%
Power Play
50.0% (792)
65.4% (188)
-15.4%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (1,090)
54.8% (1,290)
-11.2%
On power play, Gaustad has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,979).
Coyle shoots right. Gaustad is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,052).
Home / Away
Coyle
Gaustad
Home
49.8% (4,835)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
47.9% (4,903)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Coyle
Gaustad
P1
49.4%
58.2%
P2
48.3%
56.4%
P3
48.8%
58.3%
OT
49.0%
66.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2016 | 2 | 17:18 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 12:22 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 04:24 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 1 | 02:06 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 2 | 16:37 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 2 | 06:40 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 2 | 06:34 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 3 | 09:49 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 1 | 06:25 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 3 | 14:00 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 3 | 03:54 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 17, 2015 | 2 | 12:13 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 06:07 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 2 | 10:55 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 2 | 04:20 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 2 | 11:39 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 3 | 10:16 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 3 | 01:14 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |