Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Coyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Danault 52.1% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Danault 54.8%
Defensive zone
Coyle 60.8%
Neutral zone
Danault 50.2%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Coyle
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Coyle
Danault
Last 7: Coyle 4-3 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
1
Coyle
Danault
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
2
Coyle
Danault
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
1
2
Coyle
Danault
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
52.4% (958)
-2.9%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
62.0% (71)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
47.6% (187)
-4.2%
On power play, Danault has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Coyle shoots right. Danault is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Coyle
Danault
Home
47.4% (409)
51.2% (605)
Away
50.0% (360)
53.2% (611)
By Period
Coyle
Danault
P1
50.8%
53.1%
P2
46.0%
49.8%
P3
48.4%
54.3%
OT
64.3%
20.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 06:30 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 18:52 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 12:31 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 12:24 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 03:17 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |