Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Byfield on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Coyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Byfield shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Byfield 44.6% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Byfield 67.9%
Defensive zone
Coyle 51.7%
Neutral zone
Byfield 58.6%
Result
Quinton Byfield favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Coyle
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Coyle
Byfield
Last 5: Coyle 3-2 Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
1
3
Coyle
Byfield
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
0
1
Coyle
Byfield
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Coyle
Byfield
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
44.5% (853)
+5.0%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
42.9% (21)
+11.3%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
38.2% (68)
+5.2%
On power play, Coyle has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Coyle shoots right. Byfield is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (313).
Home / Away
Coyle
Byfield
Home
47.4% (409)
43.8% (502)
Away
50.0% (360)
44.3% (440)
By Period
Coyle
Byfield
P1
50.8%
44.2%
P2
46.0%
43.0%
P3
48.4%
45.0%
OT
64.3%
46.2%
Final 5 min
46.7%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
Byfield
66.0%▲
56.0%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 06:57 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 04:03 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 03:50 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 17:41 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 04:13 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |