Scouting Report
Radek Faksa holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Faksa 56.2% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Faksa 63.3%
Defensive zone
Faksa 86.7%
Neutral zone
Faksa 79.2%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 73.5%
26.5%
73.5%
Coyle
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Coyle
Faksa
Last 7: Coyle 5-2 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
Faksa
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
0
1
Coyle
Faksa
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
0
Coyle
Faksa
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
56.9% (671)
-7.4%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
85.7% (7)
-31.5%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
55.0% (80)
-11.6%
On power play, Faksa has a +31.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Coyle shoots right. Faksa is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Coyle
Faksa
Home
47.4% (409)
59.5% (375)
Away
50.0% (360)
54.6% (383)
By Period
Coyle
Faksa
P1
50.8%
61.2%
P2
46.0%
54.5%
P3
48.4%
55.5%
OT
64.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.6%
Faksa
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 02:35 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 02:38 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 12:01 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 16:13 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 04:53 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |