Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.7%). Look for Greig on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Greig 48.8% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Greig leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 59.5%
Defensive zone
Greig 59.9%
Neutral zone
Coyle 55.2%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Coyle
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Coyle
Greig
Last 10: Coyle 2-8 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Greig
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
3
7
Coyle
Greig
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Greig
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,856)
48.5% (1,133)
+0.9%
Power Play
50.0% (792)
56.8% (74)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (1,090)
46.5% (172)
-2.9%
On power play, Greig has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,979).
Coyle shoots right. Greig is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (634).
Home / Away
Coyle
Greig
Home
49.8% (4,835)
49.8% (681)
Away
47.9% (4,903)
47.7% (698)
By Period
Coyle
Greig
P1
49.4%
46.3%
P2
48.3%
51.2%
P3
48.8%
48.8%
OT
49.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
48.4%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 16:40 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 13:30 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 08:03 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 14:27 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 07:06 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 01:51 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 18:23 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 17:01 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 07:41 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:38 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 13:29 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 3 | 12:10 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 18:03 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 1 | 08:59 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |