Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 49.2% vs Nash 51.7% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 78.2%
Defensive zone
Nash 63.9%
Neutral zone
Coyle 57.1%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Coyle
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Coyle
Nash
Last 8: Coyle 3-5 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Coyle
Nash
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
3
Coyle
Nash
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Nash
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (921)
54.1% (292)
-3.5%
Power Play
51.0% (96)
57.1% (7)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
30.1% (83)
45.9% (98)
-15.8%
On penalty kill, Nash has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Coyle is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Coyle shoots right. Nash is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Home / Away
Coyle
Nash
Home
51.8% (517)
56.3% (183)
Away
46.7% (583)
48.6% (214)
By Period
Coyle
Nash
P1
49.2%
58.9%
P2
52.8%
51.0%
P3
44.8%
46.5%
OT
54.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 01:31 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 3 | 04:29 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 19:08 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 12:23 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 12:05 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 08:08 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 1 | 11:21 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 1 | 03:26 | Defensive | Riley Nash |