Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Donato 44.9% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Donato 53.9%
Defensive zone
Coyle 82.6%
Neutral zone
Coyle 75.0%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Coyle
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Coyle
Donato
Last 10: Coyle 6-4 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
1
4
Coyle
Donato
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
5
0
Coyle
Donato
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
Donato
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,856)
44.2% (1,179)
+5.2%
Power Play
50.0% (792)
46.3% (246)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (1,090)
36.4% (11)
+7.2%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,979).
Coyle shoots right. Donato is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Coyle
Donato
Home
49.8% (4,835)
47.2% (743)
Away
47.9% (4,903)
41.6% (693)
By Period
Coyle
Donato
P1
49.4%
43.4%
P2
48.3%
45.1%
P3
48.8%
44.4%
OT
49.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2025 | 3 | 16:22 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 3 | 16:18 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 3 | 12:41 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 2 | 17:27 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 2 | 09:15 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 04:06 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 07:17 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 01:07 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 14:58 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 17:52 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 12:38 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 18:52 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 09:22 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |