Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Crosby 55.5% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 23-20 in 43 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 76.3%
Defensive zone
Coyle 82.4%
Neutral zone
Coyle 56.0%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Coyle
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
23
(43 meetings)
20
23
Coyle
Crosby
Last 10: Coyle 5-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
3
13
Coyle
Crosby
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
10
2
Coyle
Crosby
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
7
8
Coyle
Crosby
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (811)
53.7% (984)
-1.4%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
64.7% (241)
-20.4%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (181)
64.3% (14)
-19.5%
On power play, Crosby has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Coyle is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Coyle shoots right. Crosby is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (360).
Home / Away
Coyle
Crosby
Home
49.0% (537)
56.9% (649)
Away
52.1% (516)
54.9% (590)
By Period
Coyle
Crosby
P1
48.7%
55.8%
P2
49.6%
53.2%
P3
53.1%
58.7%
OT
45.5%
54.2%
Final 5 min
49.1%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | OT | 00:47 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 18:08 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 15:25 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 08:43 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 4, 2026 | OT | 01:19 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 16:03 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 07:08 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 19:16 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 16:51 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 13:37 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 07:55 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 00:28 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 18:58 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 18:38 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 15:48 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 09:14 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 03:36 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |