Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Crosby 56.6% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 63.8%
Defensive zone
Coyle 86.8%
Neutral zone
Coyle 67.5%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Coyle
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Coyle
Crosby
Last 9: Coyle 3-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Coyle
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
3
Coyle
Crosby
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
56.2% (1,451)
-6.7%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
61.4% (293)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
55.3% (38)
-11.9%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Coyle shoots right. Crosby is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Coyle
Crosby
Home
47.4% (409)
59.1% (939)
Away
50.0% (360)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Coyle
Crosby
P1
50.8%
54.9%
P2
46.0%
60.8%
P3
48.4%
55.4%
OT
64.3%
53.6%
Final 5 min
46.7%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 19:38 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 16:17 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 09:48 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 06:33 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 19:36 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 12:15 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 13:51 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |