Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Noesen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs Noesen 49.5% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Noesen 64.8%
Defensive zone
Coyle 89.7%
Neutral zone
Coyle 66.5%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Coyle
Noesen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Coyle
Noesen
Last 5: Coyle 4-1 Noesen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Noesen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
0
Coyle
Noesen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Noesen
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
49.2% (59)
+3.5%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
50.0% (48)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (131)
0.0% (1)
+48.1%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +48.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Noesen shoots right. Coyle is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Coyle shoots right. Noesen is 36.7% vs right-shot opponents (30).
Home / Away
Coyle
Noesen
Home
53.3% (512)
46.5% (71)
Away
51.9% (507)
54.1% (37)
By Period
Coyle
Noesen
P1
53.8%
50.0%
P2
47.8%
47.1%
P3
56.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Noesen
46.0%▼
47.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2023 | 3 | 13:24 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 05:10 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 3 | 08:17 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 2 | 11:00 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 1 | 05:30 | Offensive | Stefan Noesen |