Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Meier 47.2% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Meier 58.4%
Defensive zone
Coyle 84.9%
Neutral zone
Coyle 65.6%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 76.3%
76.3%
23.7%
Coyle
Meier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Coyle
Meier
Last 5: Coyle 4-1 Meier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Meier
0
1
Coyle
Meier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
4
0
Coyle
Meier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Meier
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (811)
40.9% (93)
+11.4%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
60.9% (23)
-16.6%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (181)
50.0% (2)
-5.2%
On power play, Meier has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Meier shoots left. Coyle is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Coyle shoots right. Meier is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (46).
Home / Away
Coyle
Meier
Home
49.0% (537)
40.4% (57)
Away
52.1% (516)
49.2% (61)
By Period
Coyle
Meier
P1
48.7%
32.6%
P2
49.6%
50.0%
P3
53.1%
59.1%
Final 5 min
49.1%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Meier
46.0%▲
44.5%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 03:34 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 11:41 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 14:43 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:40 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 11:47 | Offensive | Timo Meier |