Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 47.1% vs Jost 38.0% (+13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 89.9%
Defensive zone
Coyle 74.7%
Neutral zone
Coyle 74.6%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 83.8%
83.8%
16.2%
Coyle
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Coyle
Jost
Last 5: Coyle 4-1 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
0
Coyle
Jost
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Jost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (562)
32.7% (226)
+13.9%
Power Play
50.7% (69)
36.0% (25)
+14.7%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (68)
50.0% (4)
-7.4%
On power play, Coyle has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Coyle is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Coyle shoots right. Jost is 34.9% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Coyle
Jost
Home
44.3% (332)
34.7% (124)
Away
48.8% (367)
32.1% (131)
By Period
Coyle
Jost
P1
47.5%
29.5%
P2
47.5%
33.0%
P3
45.7%
37.8%
OT
35.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
21.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
46.6%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
33.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 12:54 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 2 | 13:50 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 2 | 11:00 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 2 | 01:55 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 2 | 01:50 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |