Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 49.2% vs Jost 42.2% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 58.5%
Defensive zone
Jost 73.5%
Neutral zone
Jost 56.4%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Coyle
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Coyle
Jost
Last 7: Coyle 3-4 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Jost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Coyle
Jost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Coyle
Jost
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (921)
40.8% (314)
+9.8%
Power Play
51.0% (96)
37.5% (8)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
30.1% (83)
39.4% (104)
-9.3%
On power play, Coyle has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Coyle is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (759).
Coyle shoots right. Jost is 36.0% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Coyle
Jost
Home
51.8% (517)
42.8% (264)
Away
46.7% (583)
36.4% (162)
By Period
Coyle
Jost
P1
49.2%
37.4%
P2
52.8%
40.5%
P3
44.8%
43.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2022 | 3 | 15:00 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 3 | 14:55 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 3 | 07:56 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 2 | 19:58 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 2 | 13:31 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 2 | 10:28 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 2 | 01:43 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |