Scouting Report
Chris Higgins holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Higgins 49.2% vs Connolly 46.3% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Connolly 56.5%
Defensive zone
Connolly 66.7%
Neutral zone
Connolly 61.9%
Result
Tim Connolly favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Higgins
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Higgins
Connolly
Last 5: Higgins 1-4 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
0
1
Higgins
Connolly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
0
2
Higgins
Connolly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Higgins
Connolly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Higgins
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (54)
47.0% (702)
-2.6%
Power Play
66.7% (21)
49.7% (165)
+17.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
29.9% (97)
-4.9%
On power play, Higgins has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Higgins is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (27).
Higgins shoots left. Connolly is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Higgins
Connolly
Home
44.9% (49)
46.7% (512)
Away
52.8% (36)
45.1% (457)
By Period
Higgins
Connolly
P1
54.5%
46.5%
P2
48.3%
47.5%
P3
46.9%
44.0%
OT
0.0%
40.9%
Final 5 min
45.0%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Higgins
42.0%▬
41.0%
48.2%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2011 | 3 | 02:45 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Higgins |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 2 | 08:06 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 1 | 16:10 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 1 | 04:57 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |