Scouting Report
Tim Connolly holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Higgins wins 43.6% vs right-shot opponents — Connolly shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Higgins 44.1% vs Connolly 47.3% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Higgins 67.3%
Defensive zone
Higgins 61.5%
Neutral zone
Higgins 65.8%
Result
Chris Higgins favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Higgins
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Higgins
Connolly
Last 5: Higgins 1-4 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
0
1
Higgins
Connolly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
0
2
Higgins
Connolly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Higgins
Connolly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Higgins
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (168)
47.4% (1,307)
-3.9%
Power Play
45.7% (46)
50.2% (251)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (40)
41.9% (186)
-11.9%
On penalty kill, Connolly has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Higgins is 43.6% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Higgins shoots left. Connolly is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,179).
Home / Away
Higgins
Connolly
Home
41.7% (139)
48.5% (870)
Away
41.9% (117)
45.9% (885)
By Period
Higgins
Connolly
P1
41.0%
47.4%
P2
43.8%
47.7%
P3
41.5%
47.0%
OT
28.6%
37.8%
Final 5 min
37.1%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Higgins
42.0%▬
41.0%
41.8%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2011 | 3 | 02:45 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Higgins |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 2 | 08:06 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 1 | 16:10 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 1 | 04:57 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |