Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 48.6%). Look for Kelly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 49.2% vs Kelly 48.8% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Little 50.9%
Defensive zone
Kelly 71.0%
Neutral zone
Kelly 59.1%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 63.3%
36.7%
63.3%
Little
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Little
Kelly
Last 6: Little 0-6 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
0
1
Little
Kelly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
0
3
Little
Kelly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
0
2
Little
Kelly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (1,128)
49.7% (433)
-0.2%
Power Play
55.1% (216)
28.6% (7)
+26.5%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (207)
45.5% (99)
-4.4%
On power play, Little has a +26.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Little is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Little shoots right. Kelly is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Little
Kelly
Home
54.1% (756)
53.9% (297)
Away
44.4% (795)
42.1% (242)
By Period
Little
Kelly
P1
49.5%
45.4%
P2
50.2%
46.1%
P3
48.1%
54.3%
OT
44.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
49.1%
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2014 | 3 | 17:02 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 19, 2014 | 2 | 16:13 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 19, 2014 | 1 | 00:24 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 1 | 17:49 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 1 | 17:40 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 1 | 08:17 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |