Scouting Report
Chris Mueller holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Kelly wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Mueller shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Mueller 51.4% (-1.7%)
Offensive zone
Mueller 52.4%
Defensive zone
Kelly 61.2%
Neutral zone
Mueller 50.5%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Kelly
Mueller
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Mueller
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
51.0% (388)
+0.1%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
81.3% (16)
-20.7%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
40.0% (15)
+4.7%
On power play, Mueller has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mueller shoots right. Kelly is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,370).
Kelly shoots left. Mueller is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (317).
Home / Away
Kelly
Mueller
Home
52.6% (1,965)
56.2% (219)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
47.0% (200)
By Period
Kelly
Mueller
P1
49.2%
47.6%
P2
49.1%
57.9%
P3
51.9%
50.0%
OT
53.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.3%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Mueller
56.0%▲
51.5%
51.8%