Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 27 meetings). Kelly wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Giroux 56.8% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 29-18 in 47 meetings
Offensive zone
Kelly 85.9%
Defensive zone
Kelly 86.1%
Neutral zone
Kelly 80.5%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 85.0%
85.0%
15.0%
Kelly
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
29
(47 meetings)
18
29
Kelly
Giroux
Last 10: Kelly 2-8 Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
5
22
Kelly
Giroux
27 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
9
3
Kelly
Giroux
12 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Kelly
Giroux
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
55.8% (13,861)
-4.7%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
60.5% (4,075)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
57.4% (2,518)
-12.7%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Kelly is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,370).
Kelly shoots left. Giroux is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (14,370).
Home / Away
Kelly
Giroux
Home
52.6% (1,965)
59.2% (10,252)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
54.5% (10,242)
By Period
Kelly
Giroux
P1
49.2%
57.5%
P2
49.1%
56.2%
P3
51.9%
57.3%
OT
53.5%
51.4%
Final 5 min
50.3%
58.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2016 | 3 | 06:21 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 2 | 12:20 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 1 | 18:20 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 1 | 09:07 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 3 | 04:57 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 3 | 03:26 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 3 | 01:41 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 00:01 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 1 | 19:36 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 21, 2015 | 2 | 04:08 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 7, 2015 | OT | 02:35 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 7, 2015 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 3 | 10:23 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 3 | 01:01 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 1 | 08:37 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 2 | 14:37 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 8, 2014 | 3 | 17:18 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 8, 2014 | 3 | 07:11 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |