Scouting Report
Cody Eakin holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kelly wins 41.5% vs left-shot opponents — Eakin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 45.4% vs Eakin 52.1% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eakin 93.0%
Defensive zone
Eakin 92.0%
Neutral zone
Eakin 84.6%
Result
Cody Eakin favored at 88.3%
11.7%
88.3%
Kelly
Eakin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Kelly
Eakin
Last 6: Kelly 5-1 Eakin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
3
0
Kelly
Eakin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
1
Kelly
Eakin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Eakin
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (373)
52.5% (826)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (128)
47.4% (116)
-11.5%
On penalty kill, Eakin has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eakin shoots left. Kelly is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Kelly shoots left. Eakin is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Home / Away
Kelly
Eakin
Home
47.5% (259)
53.4% (498)
Away
41.3% (242)
51.3% (503)
By Period
Kelly
Eakin
P1
46.7%
49.8%
P2
42.9%
53.9%
P3
43.4%
52.8%
Final 5 min
42.2%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
44.5%
Eakin
60.0%▲
55.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2017 | 3 | 09:01 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 8, 2017 | 1 | 15:29 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 8, 2017 | 1 | 15:21 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 8, 2017 | 1 | 05:51 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 00:41 | Neutral | Cody Eakin |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 1 | 13:54 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |