Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 50.7%). Look for Kelly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Eakin 50.7% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eakin 76.3%
Defensive zone
Eakin 69.6%
Neutral zone
Eakin 68.2%
Result
Cody Eakin favored at 70.6%
29.4%
70.6%
Kelly
Eakin
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Kelly
Eakin
Last 9: Kelly 7-2 Eakin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Eakin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
4
0
Kelly
Eakin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
1
Kelly
Eakin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Eakin
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
51.3% (7,633)
-0.2%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
50.1% (483)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
47.2% (1,113)
-2.5%
On power play, Kelly has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eakin shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Kelly shoots left. Eakin is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,831).
Home / Away
Kelly
Eakin
Home
52.6% (1,965)
51.7% (4,680)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
49.7% (4,549)
By Period
Kelly
Eakin
P1
49.2%
49.6%
P2
49.1%
51.2%
P3
51.9%
51.3%
OT
53.5%
47.5%
Final 5 min
50.3%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Eakin
60.0%▲
55.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2017 | 3 | 09:01 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 8, 2017 | 1 | 15:29 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 8, 2017 | 1 | 15:21 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 8, 2017 | 1 | 05:51 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 00:41 | Neutral | Cody Eakin |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 1 | 13:54 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 3 | 01:09 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 2 | 17:02 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 2 | 16:58 | Offensive | Cody Eakin |