Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kelly wins 55.8% vs right-shot opponents — Hodgson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 49.0% vs Hodgson 47.1% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hodgson 59.9%
Defensive zone
Kelly 79.7%
Neutral zone
Kelly 57.9%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Kelly
Hodgson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Kelly
Hodgson
Last 7: Kelly 6-1 Hodgson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hodgson
0
1
Kelly
Hodgson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
4
0
Kelly
Hodgson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
0
Kelly
Hodgson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Hodgson
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (456)
46.4% (713)
+3.6%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
47.6% (210)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (118)
47.8% (46)
-2.9%
On power play, Hodgson has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hodgson shoots right. Kelly is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (233).
Kelly shoots left. Hodgson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Kelly
Hodgson
Home
51.4% (350)
48.8% (490)
Away
45.0% (229)
44.7% (479)
By Period
Kelly
Hodgson
P1
46.9%
46.6%
P2
53.6%
51.2%
P3
46.8%
42.4%
OT
0.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
47.8%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
48.9%
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2014 | 2 | 11:01 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 26, 2014 | 2 | 05:26 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 26, 2014 | 2 | 00:53 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 23, 2013 | 3 | 15:38 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 23, 2013 | 2 | 16:41 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 23, 2013 | 2 | 16:37 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Oct 23, 2013 | 2 | 07:38 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |