Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Clarkson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kelly wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Clarkson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Clarkson 40.8% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Clarkson 82.2%
Defensive zone
Kelly 86.8%
Neutral zone
Clarkson 53.1%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Kelly
Clarkson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Kelly
Clarkson
Last 7: Kelly 3-4 Clarkson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Clarkson
0
3
Kelly
Clarkson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
3
1
Kelly
Clarkson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Clarkson
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
36.7% (248)
+14.4%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
41.4% (169)
+19.2%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
100.0% (1)
-55.3%
On penalty kill, Clarkson has a +55.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Clarkson shoots right. Kelly is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,370).
Kelly shoots left. Clarkson is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (327).
Home / Away
Kelly
Clarkson
Home
52.6% (1,965)
40.0% (190)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
37.6% (229)
By Period
Kelly
Clarkson
P1
49.2%
33.6%
P2
49.1%
37.1%
P3
51.9%
45.7%
OT
53.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
35.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Clarkson
28.0%▼
35.5%
38.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2012 | 3 | 09:01 | Offensive | David Clarkson |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 2 | 18:35 | Offensive | David Clarkson |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 2 | 05:26 | Defensive | David Clarkson |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 3 | 16:37 | Offensive | David Clarkson |
| Jan 4, 2012 | 3 | 06:32 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 1 | 06:16 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 1 | 04:43 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |