Scouting Report
David Steckel holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Steckel on defensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Steckel 58.9% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Steckel leads 15-8 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Kelly 82.3%
Defensive zone
Kelly 89.0%
Neutral zone
Kelly 85.1%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 86.2%
86.2%
13.8%
Kelly
Steckel
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
15
(23 meetings)
8
15
Kelly
Steckel
Last 10: Kelly 1-9 Steckel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
4
2
Kelly
Steckel
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steckel
1
10
Kelly
Steckel
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Kelly
Steckel
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Steckel
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
58.6% (1,674)
-7.5%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
60.0% (65)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
60.2% (543)
-15.5%
On penalty kill, Steckel has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steckel shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Kelly shoots left. Steckel is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,470).
Home / Away
Kelly
Steckel
Home
52.6% (1,965)
63.4% (1,163)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
55.1% (1,154)
By Period
Kelly
Steckel
P1
49.2%
57.8%
P2
49.1%
61.8%
P3
51.9%
57.9%
OT
53.5%
68.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Steckel
66.0%▲
60.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2013 | 1 | 08:35 | Offensive | David Steckel |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 1 | 08:33 | Neutral | David Steckel |
| Mar 19, 2012 | 3 | 10:31 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Mar 19, 2012 | 2 | 07:33 | Neutral | David Steckel |
| Mar 19, 2012 | 1 | 15:24 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Mar 19, 2012 | 1 | 15:18 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Mar 19, 2012 | 1 | 03:35 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Mar 19, 2012 | 1 | 03:14 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 3 | 01:04 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 1 | 05:49 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 19:36 | Neutral | David Steckel |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 19:14 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 15:20 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 10:59 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 2 | 06:33 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 2 | 16:31 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 2 | 10:34 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 1 | 13:42 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 1 | 10:20 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 1 | 06:33 | Offensive | David Steckel |