Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Grant 52.2% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kelly 66.9%
Defensive zone
Kelly 51.7%
Neutral zone
Kelly 60.4%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Kelly
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kelly
Grant
Last 6: Kelly 2-4 Grant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grant
0
1
Kelly
Grant
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kelly
Grant
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
0
1
Kelly
Grant
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
53.7% (2,864)
-2.6%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
61.7% (175)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
46.0% (922)
-1.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Kelly shoots left. Grant is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,612).
Home / Away
Kelly
Grant
Home
52.6% (1,965)
54.3% (1,956)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
50.2% (2,005)
By Period
Kelly
Grant
P1
49.2%
51.1%
P2
49.1%
51.5%
P3
51.9%
54.3%
OT
53.5%
35.7%
Final 5 min
50.3%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2017 | 1 | 02:16 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 9, 2016 | 1 | 12:09 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 1 | 14:12 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 1 | 07:10 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 1 | 05:19 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 1 | 02:02 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |