Scouting Report
Dominic Moore holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Moore on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 51.6% vs Moore 54.4% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kelly 74.6%
Defensive zone
Kelly 63.6%
Neutral zone
Kelly 67.4%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Kelly
Moore
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Kelly
Moore
Last 9: Kelly 3-6 Moore
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Moore
0
1
Kelly
Moore
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Moore
0
1
Kelly
Moore
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Moore
3
4
Kelly
Moore
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Moore
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (686)
54.1% (625)
-2.8%
Power Play
69.2% (26)
62.9% (35)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (92)
57.7% (97)
-7.7%
On penalty kill, Moore has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Moore shoots left. Kelly is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Kelly shoots left. Moore is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Kelly
Moore
Home
52.3% (388)
55.0% (309)
Away
51.3% (421)
55.0% (453)
By Period
Kelly
Moore
P1
50.0%
53.6%
P2
51.7%
56.7%
P3
53.0%
54.0%
OT
61.5%
77.8%
Final 5 min
50.0%
62.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
51.8%
Moore
62.0%▲
56.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 19:39 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 2 | 04:36 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 2 | 04:28 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 08:58 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 08:43 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 02:04 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 18:45 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 13:26 | Offensive | Dominic Moore |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 06:09 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |