Scouting Report
Dominic Moore holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Moore on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Moore 54.4% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Moore leads 15-10 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Kelly 79.3%
Defensive zone
Kelly 75.0%
Neutral zone
Kelly 77.2%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 76.8%
76.8%
23.2%
Kelly
Moore
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
15
(25 meetings)
10
15
Kelly
Moore
Last 10: Kelly 5-5 Moore
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
3
2
Kelly
Moore
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Moore
2
8
Kelly
Moore
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Kelly
Moore
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Moore
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
55.8% (4,121)
-4.7%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
55.9% (136)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
48.7% (982)
-4.0%
On power play, Kelly has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Moore shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Kelly shoots left. Moore is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,364).
Home / Away
Kelly
Moore
Home
52.6% (1,965)
55.3% (2,409)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
53.8% (2,843)
By Period
Kelly
Moore
P1
49.2%
53.7%
P2
49.1%
54.2%
P3
51.9%
55.3%
OT
53.5%
69.4%
Final 5 min
50.3%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Moore
62.0%▲
56.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 12:46 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 3 | 19:10 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 24, 2016 | 3 | 14:17 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Nov 24, 2016 | 3 | 08:50 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Nov 24, 2016 | 2 | 02:56 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 24, 2016 | 1 | 06:50 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 24, 2016 | 1 | 06:37 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 1 | 13:40 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 1 | 02:37 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 3 | 05:33 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 2 | 07:47 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 1 | 16:31 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 1 | 06:16 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 1 | 01:15 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 19:39 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 2 | 04:36 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 2 | 04:28 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 08:58 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 08:43 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 02:04 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |