Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Kelly wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Shore shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Shore 46.6% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Kelly leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Kelly 58.1%
Defensive zone
Kelly 86.0%
Neutral zone
Kelly 72.9%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 74.4%
74.4%
25.6%
Kelly
Shore
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
2
(12 meetings)
10
2
Kelly
Shore
Last 10: Kelly 8-2 Shore
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
4
1
Kelly
Shore
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
6
1
Kelly
Shore
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Shore
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
45.7% (698)
+5.4%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
54.7% (53)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
43.6% (55)
+1.1%
On power play, Kelly has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Shore shoots right. Kelly is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,370).
Kelly shoots left. Shore is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Home / Away
Kelly
Shore
Home
52.6% (1,965)
47.1% (376)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
45.3% (430)
By Period
Kelly
Shore
P1
49.2%
46.1%
P2
49.1%
47.0%
P3
51.9%
45.2%
OT
53.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Shore
42.0%▼
48.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2015 | 2 | 13:35 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 2 | 07:16 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 3 | 19:56 | Defensive | Drew Shore |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 3 | 19:35 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 3 | 19:30 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 3 | 05:14 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 3 | 04:59 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 2 | 11:49 | Offensive | Drew Shore |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 3 | 16:36 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 3 | 07:02 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 3 | 00:26 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 1 | 07:18 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |