Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kelly wins 55.8% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 49.0% vs Lindholm 47.4% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 79.9%
Defensive zone
Kelly 72.2%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 55.3%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Kelly
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Kelly
Lindholm
Last 8: Kelly 7-1 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
0
Kelly
Lindholm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
0
Kelly
Lindholm
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
4
1
Kelly
Lindholm
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (456)
43.0% (172)
+7.0%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
60.4% (53)
-20.4%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (118)
0.0% (4)
+44.9%
On penalty kill, Kelly has a +44.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Kelly is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (233).
Kelly shoots left. Lindholm is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (151).
Home / Away
Kelly
Lindholm
Home
51.4% (350)
49.6% (133)
Away
45.0% (229)
41.7% (96)
By Period
Kelly
Lindholm
P1
46.9%
47.5%
P2
53.6%
46.7%
P3
46.8%
44.4%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
48.9%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 1 | 17:47 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 12:39 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 12:35 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 06:54 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 01:46 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 1 | 04:47 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 1 | 04:40 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |