Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Kelly wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Lindholm 53.8% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Kelly leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 92.5%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 73.1%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 79.7%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 79.6%
20.4%
79.6%
Kelly
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Kelly
Lindholm
Last 10: Kelly 6-4 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
2
Kelly
Lindholm
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
4
2
Kelly
Lindholm
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
5
1
Kelly
Lindholm
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
53.8% (8,505)
-2.7%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
59.3% (1,734)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
48.1% (1,610)
-3.4%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Kelly is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,370).
Kelly shoots left. Lindholm is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,111).
Home / Away
Kelly
Lindholm
Home
52.6% (1,965)
54.1% (5,943)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
53.6% (5,906)
By Period
Kelly
Lindholm
P1
49.2%
54.1%
P2
49.1%
54.5%
P3
51.9%
53.0%
OT
53.5%
53.6%
Final 5 min
50.3%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2017 | 2 | 08:47 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 24, 2017 | 2 | 08:28 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 3 | 02:16 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 16:48 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 11:32 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 11:22 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 1 | 17:47 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 12:39 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 12:35 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 06:54 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 01:46 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 1 | 04:47 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 1 | 04:40 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |