Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.8% vs Staal 48.1% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 74.6%
Defensive zone
Kelly 54.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 54.8%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Kelly
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Kelly
Staal
Last 9: Kelly 3-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
3
Kelly
Staal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Kelly
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (723)
47.4% (1,219)
+4.5%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
50.8% (356)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (166)
47.5% (141)
-1.1%
On even strength, Kelly has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Kelly is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (605).
Kelly shoots left. Staal is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,087).
Home / Away
Kelly
Staal
Home
53.8% (442)
49.8% (880)
Away
48.1% (474)
46.2% (871)
By Period
Kelly
Staal
P1
50.2%
46.4%
P2
47.6%
46.1%
P3
54.5%
50.7%
OT
85.7%
53.5%
Final 5 min
52.8%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.9%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2010 | 3 | 10:35 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 29, 2010 | 1 | 04:06 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 3 | 09:59 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 3 | 05:47 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 2 | 00:08 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 1 | 17:20 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 14, 2010 | 3 | 16:45 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 14, 2010 | 2 | 11:58 | Neutral | Eric Staal |