Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 50.6%). Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Staal 50.6% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 21-13 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 58.5%
Defensive zone
Kelly 77.5%
Neutral zone
Kelly 59.6%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Kelly
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
21
(34 meetings)
13
21
Kelly
Staal
Last 10: Kelly 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
8
Kelly
Staal
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
6
5
Kelly
Staal
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
8
Kelly
Staal
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
50.5% (10,347)
+0.6%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
53.5% (2,023)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
44.2% (781)
+0.5%
On power play, Kelly has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Kelly shoots left. Staal is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (8,336).
Home / Away
Kelly
Staal
Home
52.6% (1,965)
52.6% (6,558)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
48.6% (6,664)
By Period
Kelly
Staal
P1
49.2%
50.0%
P2
49.1%
51.1%
P3
51.9%
50.4%
OT
53.5%
55.2%
Final 5 min
50.3%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2016 | 3 | 09:42 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 1 | 02:40 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 3 | 01:39 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 2 | 10:27 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 19:23 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 17:24 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 3 | 10:29 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 3 | 03:44 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 1 | 10:20 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 1 | 14:27 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 1 | 09:48 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 1 | 06:07 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 13:38 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 10:48 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 05:36 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 05:17 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 2 | 08:51 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 2 | 05:34 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 1 | 16:07 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 2 | 02:48 | Offensive | Eric Staal |