Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 51.6% vs Nielsen 45.6% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Kelly leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kelly 82.7%
Defensive zone
Kelly 57.9%
Neutral zone
Kelly 70.6%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
Kelly
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Kelly
Nielsen
Last 10: Kelly 7-3 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
0
Kelly
Nielsen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
3
0
Kelly
Nielsen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Kelly
Nielsen
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (686)
45.6% (906)
+5.7%
Power Play
69.2% (26)
62.2% (45)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (92)
39.6% (192)
+10.4%
On penalty kill, Kelly has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Kelly is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Kelly shoots left. Nielsen is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (783).
Home / Away
Kelly
Nielsen
Home
52.3% (388)
45.6% (581)
Away
51.3% (421)
44.9% (575)
By Period
Kelly
Nielsen
P1
50.0%
47.0%
P2
51.7%
44.0%
P3
53.0%
44.9%
OT
61.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
51.8%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2012 | 3 | 10:37 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 04:58 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 1 | 18:11 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 1 | 14:42 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 3 | 15:51 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 2 | 16:11 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 2 | 09:01 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 18:15 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 1 | 18:20 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 7, 2011 | 2 | 18:01 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |