Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.8% vs Josefson 48.0% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Josefson 52.3%
Defensive zone
Kelly 71.3%
Neutral zone
Kelly 59.8%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Kelly
Josefson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kelly
Josefson
Last 5: Kelly 3-2 Josefson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
0
Kelly
Josefson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Josefson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Josefson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Josefson
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (723)
48.5% (169)
+3.4%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
34.5% (29)
+19.7%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (166)
100.0% (1)
-53.6%
On penalty kill, Josefson has a +53.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Josefson shoots left. Kelly is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (605).
Kelly shoots left. Josefson is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Kelly
Josefson
Home
53.8% (442)
44.8% (116)
Away
48.1% (474)
50.0% (86)
By Period
Kelly
Josefson
P1
50.2%
47.1%
P2
47.6%
48.1%
P3
54.5%
45.9%
Final 5 min
52.8%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.9%
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2011 | 3 | 15:44 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 1 | 02:20 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 3 | 17:09 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 1 | 17:12 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |